Monday, 31 July 2017

JAPAN TIMES Brexit Headlines: 1 Jul - 31 Jul 2017

The Japan Times
Brexit Headlines

Free movement with EU will end in March 2019, spokesman for May says

WORLDJUL 31, 2017

Free movement of people between Britain and the European Union will end in March 2019, when Britain leaves the bloc, Prime Minister Theresa May's spokesman said on Monday. Last week British finance minister Philip Hammond said there should be no immediate change to immigration rules ...

BUSINESS   JUL 6, 2017

Britain will lose its status as Europe's top financial center unless it keeps borders open 
to specialist staff, improves infrastructure and expands links with emerging economies, 
TheCityUK said in a report published Thursday. The report from Britain's most powerful 
financial lobby said continental Europe might ...

May could walk out of Brexit talks over exit bill: reportWORLD / POLITICSJUL 2, 2017

British business leaders have been told to brace for the possibility that Prime Minister Theresa May's government may walk out of Brexit talks this year, according to the Sunday Telegraph. The move would be designed for "domestic consumption" to show the government is negotiating hard ...











EU free movement WILL END by 2019: Theresa May SLAPS DOWN Hammond's soft Brexit plot

THERESA MAY took a swipe at Philip Hammond as she announced the free movement of EU citizens in Britain will end by 2019.

While the Prime Minister was on holiday, her Cabinet went to war over Mr Hammond's suggestion that Britain's relationship with Brussels could remain "very similar" for at least three years after the UK formally withdraws from the bloc in 2019.
Mr Hammond infuriated Brexit supporters on Friday when he said "many things will look similar" on the day after Brexit, and hoped goods would flow across the border between the EU and Britain in "much the same way as they do now" during the transitional period.
But today a spokesman for Theresa May sent a warning shot to the Chancellor saying the free movement of EU citizens WILL definitely end after Britain unshackles itself from the bloc in 2019. 
Theresa May and Philip Hammond GETTY
Hammond has been in charge while May enjoys a holiday in Italy
He said it would be "wrong to suggest" freedom of movement would continue unchanged. 
And in a direct swipe to the Chancellor, the Number 10 spokesman said Britain was not seeking an "off-the-shelf" solution.
It comes after Mr Hammond, last week, said he hoped for an "off-the-shelf" transition deal.
Mrs May's spokesman said: "Free movement will end in March 2019. We've published proposals on citizens' rights. Last week the Home Secretary said there would be a registration system for EU nationals arriving post-March 2019. 
"Other elements of the post-Brexit immigration system will be brought forward in due course. 
"It would be wrong to speculate on what these might look like or to suggest that free movement will continue as it is now." 
The spokesman said that proposals for a new immigration system after Brexit will be brought forward "in due course," adding: "It would be wrong to speculate on what these might look like or to suggest that free movement will continue as it is now."
Downing Street also insisted the Cabinet remains united over Brexit amid fuelling criticism Mrs May's team is divided about the crucial issue of immigration.
The spokesman said there is "broad agreement" in the Government to make Brexit "as smooth as possible".
But Mrs May failed to back Mr Hammond's recent remarks that Britain wouldn't become a "tax haven" after Britain's departure, by saying Britain is not looking to enter a Singapore-style corporate tax haven. 
Meanwhile, Defence Secretary Michael Fallon insisted the Tory cabinet is "working together" to negotiate Brexit. 
May and Hammond GETTY
May appears to have taken a swipe at Chancellor Hammond
Over the weekend Brexit Secretary David Davis' camp accused the pro-EU Chancellor of "going on manoeuvres" while the Prime Minister enjoys a three week break in Lake Garda, Italy, leaving him in charge of the country. 
The row came after close allies of foreign secretary Boris Johnson and Mr Davis made it clear that Mr Hammond’s proposal for a two stage transition period which would delay Brexit for five years was unacceptable.
The bickering was fuelled by the Chancellor's thinly veiled swipe at Mr Johnson's approach to Brexit during a speech in Germany. 
Brexit flag GETTY
Britain voted to leave the EU on June 23 last year
The Foreign Secretary had said last year Britain should "have our cake and eat it" by slashing immigration while remaining in the single market but Mr Hammond dismissed the idea in front of top politicians and economists in Berlin.
Mr Hammond said: "Wise words with some applicability to the Brexit negotiations, although I try to discourage talk of 'cake' amongst my colleagues.”

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/835070/Theresa-May-eu-citizens-freedom-movement-Philip-Hammond-Brexit-news-EU

Friday, 28 July 2017

Britain has beaten Continental bullies before

As we have done before, we will push past the bullies in Europe as a truly global trading nation, and we will emerge triumphant from the Brexit negotiations by defying threats, embracing our global connections, and believing in the Great British Public


Europe
The lights won't be going out over Britain
Picture
Alexander Fluza
On 28 July 2017 06:49
Britain today finds itself facing a continent dominated by a rapacious power intent on crippling its independence, in this case by hindering Brexit as much as possible. Our antagonist, the EU, is willing to use the threat of sanctions and a trade war to get its way.
A small sect is obsessed with doing Britain down and glorifying its opponent. We are led by a reserved, but, intense Prime Minister who has been reported as keeping her advisors unusually close – especially in the past. Our position is strong through trade, innovation and global connections, but many cannot see it. Historically, this is a more familiar situation than it may seem.
One could say this all began with England’s Brexit from the Papacy in 1531, when Henry VIII declared himself head of the Church in the face of massive opposition from the elite. He went on to take back control of our laws by breaking the power of the Church Courts and empowering the English legal system.
Numerous Catholics at home and abroad conspired to bring England back under Papal authority, or to yoke it to continental Catholic powers like Spain.
Threats and posturing from the continent culminated in the Spanish Armada launched against Henry’s daughter Elizabeth I. English ingenuity and courage saw it off, and saved England from becoming a puppet of Spain.
Fast forward to the Glorious Revolution of 1688, which saw England overthrow grasping, authoritarian, King James II. During his reign King James had threatened the power of Parliament and made Britain a de facto puppet of France.
At France’s bidding, he had set England against its cultural cousins and one-time allies across Europe. His replacement was the reclusive King William III, a ruler who spent far more time with his advisors than his Parliament.
A coalition of Tories, authoritarians and Catholics wanted him back on the throne of England, and formed the Jacobite movement. When a French-backed King James invaded then-English Ireland -- only to be smashed at the Battle of the Boyne -- most Jacobite sympathisers got behind Britain. A hard core of Jacobites willing to work against Britain’s interests, come what may, remained, however.
Across the channel the Sun King, Louis XIV of France, was intent on building a ‘universal monarchy’, or rather, a France dominating all of Europe. James had been subservient to his plans, but under William III, England stood up to him.
Through tactical brilliance, financial strength and smooth diplomacy, England would prove to be a critical part in overcoming the Sun King in the 9-Year War, which raged from 1688 to 1697, and the War of the Spanish Succession from 1701 to 1714.
France provided Britain’s second great foe as well -- ‘Revolutionary France’ and its megalomaniac Emperor Napoleon Bonaparte. The French Revolution in 1789 led rapidly to war and tyranny, an environment which let Napoleon rise to power in 1799.
A man intent on uniting Europe behind him, crushing opposition and imposing a rigid, technocratic empire, he found many fans among Britain’s Liberals. Most of Britain rejected Napoleon’s advances, however. The Francophile Liberals were pushed to the side-lines by the reserved Tory Prime Minister, William Pitt the Younger, who served as Prime Minister from 1783 to 1801, and again from 1804 to 1806.
In an effort to make Britain regret its defiance, Napoleon locked Britain out of the ‘Continental System’ -- a protectionist trade bloc covering most of Europe.
He underestimated how global Britain had become -- even locked out of Europe, Britain still prospered, as its trade with the rest of the world flourished, just as it will after Brexit. The French economy, meanwhile, was badly damaged by locking out British trade, holding French industrialisation back decades.
Through appealing to the interests of other European nations, England was able to forge alliance after alliance in opposition to Napoleon. Global trade and financial dominance kept Britain afloat in the worst eras of the Napoleonic wars. In Napoleon, Britain and its allies overcame another Frenchman set on dominating Europe.
In the 1930s, Germany was poised to dominate Europe and cripple Britain. Politicians -- from Prime Minister, Neville Chamberlain to Labour leader George Lansbury -- supported appeasement, and high society was riddled with Nazi-sympathisers like George Bernard Shaw.
Even when the Second World War had begun in 1939, many voices called for surrender -- including Conservative leadership contender Lord Halifax. By ignoring these voices, with the support and trade of the Commonwealth and the United State of America, and aided by the heroism of its armed forces and intelligence services, Britain prevailed.
Of course, while the EU is turning itself into a bullying, ideological Super-state, we are not at war with it and it isn’t invading other nations. But perhaps the EU needs to learns more lessons from history.
Nonetheless, our situation when negotiating the terms on which we Get Britain Out of the EU, bears similarities to the struggles we have faced time and time again as a nation.
Eurocrats like Juncker think their victory is inevitable. The Government must overcome domestic opposition by those who work against the national interest in undermining our Brexit negotiators.
We are the fifth wealthiest nation in the world, a key military force and a diplomatic superpower, but many seem to struggle to understand our strength.
We will push through this as a truly global trading nation, and we will emerge triumphant from the Brexit negotiations, by defying threats, embracing our global connections, and believing in the Great British Public.
Alexander Fiuza is a Research Executive at cross-party grassroots campaign Get Britain Out

http://www.thecommentator.com/article/6631/britain_has_beaten_continental_bullies_before

Monday, 24 July 2017

Why Brussels will calm down about Brexit

With Verhofstadt's and Barnier's wrecking tactics now fully exposed, and with yet another massive crisis looming over Poland, Brussels simply cannot afford a fight with Britain. Merkel and company will ensure a smooth Brexit, because they ultimately have no choice

Verhofstadt
Verhofstadt (left), and Barnier
The_commentator_logo_updated9
the commentator
On 24 July 2017 07:57
There have been two highly illustrative stories surfacing in the past week or so which, when put together, show why Brussels will eventually calm down and hammer out a workable and sensible Brexit deal with the United Kingdom.
The first came with a revelation from German MEP Hans-Olaf Henkel who openly said that Brussels' lead Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier and European Parliament co-ordinator Guy Verhofstadt were deliberately trying to sabotage negotiations with Britain so as to make Britain look bad in the eyes of others:
"Mr Verhofstadt now wants to punish the British, full stop...He says he doesn’t want to, but I’m afraid he does. My impression is that Mr Barnier wants to do the same."
“They would seek to make sure that Brexit is such a catastrophe that no country dares to take the step of leaving the EU again."
At first sight, that certainly doesn't look like good news. But when you think about it this is in fact a classic case of a couple of Brussels apparatchiks overplaying their hand, so much so that their shenanigans have now been outed by a respected colleague.
No-one is going to think that it is Britain that looks bad when the other side is led by people who want to wreck a deal before it has been struck. Barnier and particularly Verhofstadt are a busted flush. It won't take long for the likes of Angela Merkel to come down on them like a tonne of bricks. Watch this space.
But it is when you put this together with the second interesting piece of news that you see the EU's problem in bold relief.
Poland, you may have been reading, stands on the verge of being stripped of its EU voting rights over concerns about judicial independence. This would be yet another enormous crisis for the EU which is still mired in the ongoing (and irresolvable) euro crisis. Don't think that southern Europe is out of the woods. Far from it. Countries such as Greece and and Italy are on their backs, with very little prospect of a sustained recovery.
The point being that the whole European project is riven with deep seated problems. Old ones don't get fully resolved; new ones, like the Polish situation, constantly threaten to break out causing yet more chaos. It is possible that the Polish situation gets kicked down the road. But there'll be another one right round the corner. There always is.
The European Union simply cannot afford a fight with Britain. They are not in a position of strength. Quite the contrary.
With the wheels coming off the relationship with central and eastern Europe's biggest country, and with the ongoing problems with Hungary, and all this against the backdrop of the euro crisis, it ultimately won't make sense for the EU to do anything other than forge a sensible Brexit deal.
Angela Merkel is nothing if not a pragmatist. Verhofstadt may be allowed a little more time to bang his drums and blow his trumpet, but the conducter in chief will, in the end, bring him to order.
This is not because she is happy about Brexit or because she is not fearful that other countries may, one day, follow suit.
It is because in the cold light of day it just won't be worth anyone's while for Britain's departure to go anything other than smoothly.
Forget clowns like Barnier and Verhofstadt. Brexit is going to be fine.

http://www.thecommentator.com/article/6629/why_brussels_will_calm_down_about_brexit

Saturday, 22 July 2017

EU has upper hand? Deprived of UK cash bloc will be on brink of COLLAPSE, says ROSS CLARK

THERE is a received wisdom among diehard Remainers that the EU has the upper hand in the negotiations regarding Britain’s exit from the EU.

According to this theory, Brexit Secretary David Davis has been reduced to a position of almost kissing the boots of his opposite number Michel Barnier, begging him for whatever access to European markets he might be kind enough to grant us and imploring him to let us off with just a fraction of our €100billion bill for leaving the EU.
Just how big a nonsense this is has become clear with the publication of the minutes from a meeting in Brussels last week between Barnier and the House of Lords’ EU select committee.
His demand for Britain to pay a bill for the privilege of leaving the EU is delivered not from a position of strength but from one of desperation. He is fearful that the EU will break up when deprived of its second-largest net financial contributor.
As he told the House of Lords committee: “There are thousands of town halls, municipalities, businesses and universities that have undertaken projects on the basis of those undertakings and commitments. If we are to cut 15 per cent or whatever – that is the UK share – there will be an explosion everywhere across the board.”
It is the second time he has used this language. Speaking back in May when the EU suddenly and without any attempt at justification raised its leaving bill from €50billion to €100billion, he said: “The situation might be explosive if we have to stop programmes. Can you imagine the political problems which might arise?”
David Davis - Michel BarnierGETTY
Remainers claim David Davis has been kissing Michel Barnier's boots
Well, indeed. Just think of all those poor farmers in Mr Barnier’s native France who, without UK cash, might be deprived of their EU handouts for overgrown pastures and vineyards. Some of them might actually start having to produce some food for a living rather than doing as they do now, simply pocketing money for owning the land itself.
Think, too, of the poor owner of a vegetable chilling plant in Bulgaria who wants a grant to modernise his factory but finds there is no money left in the kitty. Or maybe don’t feel all that sorry for him – he was one recipient of EU funds held responsible for €888million worth of fraud identified in 2015. It turned out that, besides the factory, he also owned the company which was going to undertake the modernisation work, the bill for which he had exaggerated.
Exaggerated bills – of which Michel Barnier’s is a prime example – have long been part of EU culture. From the fraudulent payments for nonexistent sheep to the £120,000 a year expenses which can be claimed by MEPs without having to provide much in the way of receipts, the EU is drunk on easy cash.
Theresa MayPA
For decades Britain has been paying more than its fair share into the EU
For decades Britain has been paying more than its fair share. Of 28 EU nations Britain is the second-highest of only eight net contributors. Germany contributes a higher net sum but then it has a higher population. As for EU spending, Britain receives less per head than any other EU member – at €107 per person per year it is a fraction of the ¤2,993 per head spent on the citizens of Luxembourg.
I dare say we would manage just fine without those payments – not least the £900,000 in agricultural subsidies received in the 10 years leading up to 2011 by Lord Heseltine, the Europhile Conservative who owns 1,200 acres in Oxfordshire and Northamptonshire.
It isn’t just over its budget that the EU faces a crisis when Britain leaves. How many times have we heard Remainers try to assert that British exporters face Armageddon if the EU negotiations collapse and tariff barriers are erected to crossChannel trade?
David Davis and Michel BarnierGETTY
To make out that Britain would suffer disproportionately is wrong
Tariffs would take a chunk out of our economy, which is why the Government is working to achieve a free trade deal. But to make out that Britain would suffer disproportionately is wrong.
In 2016, we exported £241billion worth of goods and services to other EU countries and imported £312billion worth from them – giving us a trade deficit of £71billion. With the rest of the world, by the way, we ran a £34billion surplus.
Put another way, EU exporters have even more to lose than UK exporters if the EU chooses to provoke a trade war. Michel Barnier must already know this. The question is: how much longer are commercial interests in the EU going to let him carry on trying to punish the UK before they round on him and warn him that he will be punishing them even more? My guess is it won’t be much longer before there is a serious backlash against Barnier and his team from elsewhere in the EU.
I wouldn’t rate his chances of remaining in his job as chief negotiator all the way to the end of the Brexit process. The sad thing is that we would be able to do rapid, amicable deals individually with almost all the countries which make up the EU – with I guess just Spain trying to make a thing about Gibraltar and Greece demanding the Elgin Marbles. It is the institution itself, with its arrogance and grandstanding, which is the problem.
Michel Barnier has revealed his fears that Britain’s departure could cause political chaos within the EU. Maybe it will not even survive Brexit.
I am rapidly coming to the conclusion that that would be no bad thing.

http://www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/831675/Brexit-bill-uk-money-collapse-eu-ross-clark

Friday, 21 July 2017

Project Fear now totally exposed as economy booms

The establishment non-entities who predicted that Brexit would cause immediate harm to the economy have egg all over their faces as new data comes in and the Bank of England back tracks. Thank goodness the majority of Brits ignored these losers


by Eurosceptic on 21 July 2016 07:19
Just some random front page headlines from the British press this morning:
"Economy defies Brexit doubters," Daily Telegraph.
"Britain booms after EU vote," Daily Express.
"Business as usual: Bank [of England] reports no Brexit slump," The Times.
This was inevitable after the outrageous scaremongering put about by the Remain camp.
You'll recall that one of their central arguments was that, even in the run-up to the referendum, the economy would suffer badly due to uncertainty: companies would be reluctant to hire people; consumers wold stop spending; foreign direct investment (FDI) would pause.
All garbage, now being refuted by reality as the Bank of England (BoE) says there is absolutely no sign of a Brexit slowdown, unemployment falls to an 11 year low of 4.9 percent, overall employment hits a record high of 74.4 percent of the working age population, the latest BoE survey shows consumers are calm and activity has been unaffected, the FTSE100 has surged to its highest levels since last August, and a $32 billion investment decision was announced this week by Japan's SoftBank, with much more FDI now expected due to the weaker pound and Britain's relatively better economic performance than the Eurozone.
The four horsemen of the apocalypse appear to have other things to do...

Thursday, 20 July 2017

Trade deal offers show post-Brexit world is our oyster

t least 35 countries have expressed an interest in a free trade deal with Brexit Britain, including the United States, Japan, and Australia. Brexit is going to be a bonanza. So drop the pessimism, and get behind it

Dover-port-515752
Dover getting busy for Brexit
Jh_photo
Joseph Hackett
On 20 July 2017 05:08
Who would want free trade with Brexit Britain? Plenty of countries, as it turns out. Three important countries -- the United States, Australia, and Japan -- reiterated their commitment to a post-Brexit deal with Britain in the space of a few days recently.
Firstly, at the G20 summit in Hamburg earlier this month, US President Donald Trump said he wanted to see a “very powerful deal, great for both countries,” and predicted it could be concluded “very, very quickly”.
Trump had previously proposed a US-UK free trade deal in January, and by reaffirming his support now, he has shown this was not just a passing comment.
Needless to say, a US-UK trade deal would have great promise. The United States is the world’s largest economy, and is already our second-biggest trading partner (after the EU). Dismantling tariffs and other barriers to transatlantic trade would be a significant boost to both the British and American economies.
The prospect of such a major trade deal also strengthens our hand in negotiating a trade deal with the EU, since a deal with America would at least mitigate the effects of a ‘no deal’ Brexit.
Days later, Prime Minister Theresa May hosted her old acquaintance Malcolm Turnbull, the Prime Minister of Australia, at 10 Downing Street. There, Turnbull said he wanted a deal with Brexit Britain “as soon as possible,” saying Australians “move quickly” and “don’t muck around.”
Of course, Australia is not as big an economy as the United States, but it is a resource-rich country and a significant trading partner nonetheless.
Meanwhile, as Remainers hailed the EU agreeing to a trade deal with Japan, Koji Tsuruoka, the Japanese Ambassador to Britain, offered good news for Brexiteers. Tsuruoka said the terms of the deal could also be applied to a UK-Japan deal, since after all, the UK was a driving force in the EU-Japan negotiations.
Tsuruoka said Japan would welcome a free trade agreement with Britain after Brexit, echoing the Japanese Government, which last month announced plans to start informal trade talks with Britain. A free trade deal with Japan, the world’s third-largest economy, would of course be yet another major boost for the British economy.
Remarkably, in over 40 years of managing our trade policy, the EU still has not struck a free trade deal with either the United States or Australia, while the Japan deal could take several years to fully conclude.
The TTIP agreement between the EU and the United States still appears to be years away -- it has already been repeatedly kicked down the road, and complaints from various special interests across the EU make it possible it will never be agreed.
Meanwhile, Turnbull is hoping a trade deal between Australia and the EU will be agreed before Brexit – although given how slow the EU can be to negotiate, this might be a touch optimistic.
When we leave the EU and take back control of our trade policy, it is crucial we, like the Australians, “don’t muck around”. We will already have lost time by complying with the EU’s demand not to enter into any formal negotiations until Brexit talks have concluded. We must seize the day and quickly strike mutually-beneficial free trade deals with the United States, Australia, and Japan.
However, we must not limit our scope to just these three nations. At least 35 countries have expressed an interest in a free trade deal with Brexit Britain. Some of these should be easily achieved, since we already have deals with them as part of the EU -- South Africa, for instance. But many more would be entirely new territory -- markets which we have been unable to properly tap into because of the EU’s lack of ambition.
As we Get Britain Out of the EU and its sclerotic Customs Union, there is every reason to be confident. The United States, Australia, Japan, and many more countries are waiting for us to get around the negotiating table and start making deals with them.
It falls to us to recognise the world is our oyster, act with ambition, and make the most of this Brexit opportunity.
Joseph Hackett is a Research Executive at Get Britain Out

http://www.thecommentator.com/article/6626/trade_deal_offers_show_post_brexit_world_is_our_oyster